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Downscaling simulations of future precipitation based on CMIP5 outputs over the Heihe River Basin (2011-2100)

Based on the data of downscaling results in the precipitation historical period of CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5), the combined Method of geographical weighted regression and HASM (High Accuracy Surface Modeling Method) was used to analyze the annual mean precipitation in the future three periods of 2011-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2100 in the scenario of rcp2.6, rcp4.5 and rcp8.5. Through downscaling simulation and prediction, the 1km downscaling results of the multi-year average precipitation in the three periods of 2011-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2100 are obtained.

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Related Literatures:

1. Na Zhao, Tiangxiang Yue, Mingwei Zhao, Zhengping Du, Zemeng Fan, Chuanfa Chen. Sensitivity studies of a high accuracy surface modeling method. SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences. 2014, 57(1):1-11.(View Details)

2. Zhao, N. , Yue, T. X. , Chen, C. F. , et al. (2018). An improved statistical downscaling scheme of Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission precipitation in the Heihe River basin, China. International Journal of Climatology, 38(8): 3309-3322.(View Details)

3. TianXiang Yue. 2011. Surface Modelling: High Accuracy and High Speed Methods. New York: CRC Press (Taylor & Francis group)(View Details)

4. Zhao, N. , Yue, T. X. , Zhou, X. , Zhao, M. W. , Liu, Y. , Du, Z. P., & Zhang, L. L. (2017). Statistical downscaling of precipitation using local regression and high accuracy surface modeling method. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 1: 1-12.(View Details)

Cite as:

Yue, T., Zhao, N. (2016). < b>Downscaling simulations of future precipitation based on CMIP5 outputs over the Heihe River Basin (2011-2100)</b>2016. doi: 10.11888/Meteoro.tpdc.271243. (Download the reference： RIS | Bibtex )

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